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Spring breakers drop Mexico for Hawaii and Florida after cartel violence

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Travelers swap Mexico for safer destinations

Many Americans are scratching Mexico off their spring break list this year.

The shift comes after widespread violence erupted across the country in late February, following a major military operation against cartel leadership.

Tyler Hosford, a security official at global risk company International SOS, told USA Today that travelers want “peace of mind” and are choosing places where they don’t have to worry.

Travel insurance marketplace Squaremouth reported a sixfold jump in customer questions about Mexico travel after the unrest.

Mexican soldier's arm with flag

Military operation killed a top cartel leader

On Feb. 22, the Mexican military killed Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as “El Mencho,” during an operation in the town of Tapalpa in Jalisco state.

Oseguera Cervantes led the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), one of Mexico’s most powerful criminal groups. The U.S. government had offered up to about $15 million for information leading to his arrest.

The White House confirmed the U.S. provided intelligence support for the operation.

Burning car on road with flames

Cartel retaliation spread across multiple states

After the operation, cartel members set vehicles on fire and blocked highways across several Mexican states.

The violence reached Guadalajara, Jalisco’s capital and Mexico’s second-largest city, where residents locked themselves inside their homes. Smoke rose over Puerto Vallarta, a resort town popular with American tourists.

Schools shut down in several states, and security forces went on high alert across the country.

Airport arrivals scoreboard with canceled flights

Airlines canceled flights to resort areas

Delta, American, Alaska, and Air Canada all canceled flights to Puerto Vallarta and Guadalajara during the unrest. Thousands of passengers got stranded, with some stuck inside hotel compounds for days.

The U.S. Embassy reported that roadblocks disrupted airline operations at both airports. The State Department temporarily told Americans in the affected areas to shelter in place.

Santo Domingo aerial view

Three destinations now lead spring break trends

So where are travelers going instead? Data from Hopper Technology Solutions shows the top three trending spring break destinations are Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic, San Juan in Puerto Rico, and Fort Myers in Florida.

Punta Cana, Montego Bay, and Kingston in Jamaica are also trending.

Google Flights data separately shows Hilo, Hawaii, as the top trending domestic spring break destination for 2026. Five of the top 10 domestic spots are in Florida, including Sarasota, Panama City, and Tampa.

Key West, Florida from the Port

Florida and Hawaii already had momentum

The Mexico unrest may have sped up a trend that started earlier.

Google Flights search data tracking year-over-year increases from early 2025 through early 2026 already showed Florida and Hawaii gaining ground before the February violence.

An Upgraded Points study found Key West and Destin, Fla., topped domestic spring break searches in 33 of 51 state-level results.

Priceline data shows domestic roundtrip airfares averaging about $340, down about 7% from last year, making U.S. destinations even more appealing.

Warning sign on Mexico map

State Department warns against six Mexican states

The U.S. State Department keeps a Level 2 advisory for Mexico overall, meaning travelers should exercise increased caution.

But six states carry a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” warning: Colima, Guerrero, Michoacan, Sinaloa, Tamaulipas, and Zacatecas.

Jalisco, where much of the February violence happened, sits at Level 3, meaning travelers should reconsider going.

Several other states popular with tourists, including Baja California, Chihuahua, and Sonora, also carry Level 3 warnings.

Cruise port in Cabo San Lucas

Cancun and Cabo stay at lower risk

Not every Mexican destination carries the same risk.

Quintana Roo, home to Cancun, Playa del Carmen, and Tulum, remains at Level 2, the same advisory level as countries like France and the United Kingdom.

Baja California Sur, which includes Los Cabos, also sits at Level 2. Hosford noted that areas outside Jalisco, like Cabo San Lucas and Cancun, are returning to normal.

Even so, U.S. officials still warn about crime, scams, and occasional violence in lower-risk areas.

United States Embassy flag in Mexico City

U.S. Embassy targets spring break travelers

On March 2, 2026, the U.S. Embassy in Mexico released a safety message aimed directly at spring break travelers.

The advisory warned about risks of carjacking, robbery, kidnapping, and drug-related violence in popular tourist areas.

One detail that catches many travelers off guard: bringing vaping devices into Mexico is illegal, and fines can top $10,000.

The embassy also cautioned travelers about unregulated alcohol, counterfeit medications, and the risk of sexual assault.

Man reading cancellation policy

Standard travel insurance may not help

Here’s something worth knowing before you cancel or rebook.

Standard travel insurance policies typically don’t cover trip cancellations tied to military action, acts of war, or government airspace closures.

Squaremouth advised travelers to look into Cancel for Any Reason or Interruption for Any Reason add-on coverage for more protection.

Those optional benefits must be purchased within 14 to 21 days of an initial trip deposit. Travelers should also save all communications and receipts and check cancellation policies with airlines and hotels.

Cancun Caribbean beaches

Mexico still leads international spring break bookings

Despite all of this, Mexico isn’t going anywhere as a destination.

It has ranked as the top international spring break destination for U.S. residents for more than five straight years, according to Squaremouth sales data.

Cancun remains the most-searched international spring break destination in 13 states, per Upgraded Points.

International resort searches on Google still lean heavily toward Mexico, with Cancun, Riviera Maya, and Los Cabos leading in 16 states.

Security experts recommend enrolling in the State Department’s Smart Traveler Enrollment Program and keeping travel plans flexible.

Woman with suitcase at transit station

Safety tips for those still heading south

If you’re still planning a Mexico trip, the State Department advises checking the advisory for each specific state, not just the overall country level.

Use official taxi stands at airports and reputable ride-share apps rather than hailing cabs on the street.

The embassy recommends against drinking unregulated alcohol, accepting drinks from strangers, or leaving beverages unattended.

Confirm your health or travel insurance covers care outside the United States, since private hospital costs can be high and often require upfront payment.

This article was created with AI assistance and human editing.

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Currently residing in the "Sunset State" with his wife and 8 pound Pomeranian. Leo is a lover of all things travel related outside and inside the United States. Leo has been to every continent and continues to push to reach his goals of visiting every country someday. Learn more about Leo on Muck Rack.

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